Climate Change in the Midwest: Impacts, Risks, Vulnerability, and Adaptation

S. C. Pryor is Provost’s Professor of Atmospheric Science at Indiana University Bloomington and editor of Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres and of Understanding Climate Change: Climate Variability, Predictability, and Change in the Midwestern United States (IUP, 2009). Table of contents Chapter 1 Climate Change Impacts, Risks, Vulnerability and Adaptation: An Introduction ……. 9 Chapter 2 The Midwestern USA: Socio-Economic Context and Physical Climate ……………….. 19 Chapter 3 Vulnerability and Adaptability of Agricultural Systems in the Southeast USA to Climate Variability and Climate Change ……………………………………………………………….. 64 Chapter 4 Uncertainty and Hysteresis in Adapting to Global Climate Change …………………….. 76 Chapter 5 Climate – Agriculture Vulnerability Assessment for the Midwestern United States .. 86 Chapter 6 Potential Future Impacts of Climate on Row Crop Production in the Great Lakes Region …………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 101 Chapter 7 Vulnerability of Soil Carbon Reservoirs in the Midwest to Climate Change ………. 114 Chapter 8 Michigan’s Tart Cherry Industry: Vulnerability to Climate Variability and Change ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 129 Chapter 9 Climate Change Vulnerability and Impacts on Human Health ………………………….. 147 Chapter 10 Intra-Urban Variations in Vulnerability Associated with Extreme Heat Events in Relationship to a Changing Climate ……………………………………………………………………. 164 Chapter 11 Historical and Projected Changes in Human Heat Stress in the Midwestern USA 177 Chapter 12 Vulnerability of the Electricity and Water Sectors to Climate Change in the Midwest ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 192 Chapter 13 The Drought Risk Management Paradigm in the Context of Climate Change …… 212 Chapter 14 Local Adaptation to Changing Flood Vulnerability in the Midwest …………………. 226 Chapter 15 The Response of Great Lakes Water Levels and Potential Impacts of Future Climate Scenarios …………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 240 Chapter 16 Vulnerability of the Energy System to Extreme Wind Speeds and Icing …………… 252 Chapter 17 Climate Change Impacts, Risks, Vulnerability and Adaptation in the Midwestern United States: What Next? …………………………………………………………………………………. 271